Hurricane Dean

FYI: I did an extensive ground survery in 2000 of the area between Corpus-Brownsville and Corpus-Houston. Between Corpus and Brownsville, Highway 77 could be a serious problem if you were trapped on that lonely highway with a Cat-4+. I don't recall many places worth shooting in that area and there was little infrastructure, at least in 2000. In addition, ALL gas stations along the highway in towns like Armstrong were closed. The area between Corpus and Houston is also a challenge. Locals may know more and please post and correct me if you know of any new survivable vantage points in that area.

Warren

Bret 1999 hit that area as a cat 4 and went largely unnoticed due to the small population an desserted coastline.
 
They are going to Jamaica. They aborted the Yucatan plans last night for fear that Dean may go just north of there. Also, Jamaica will be hit in the day time
 
Dean appears to be rapidly strengthening. The latest Vortex data message has Dean's central pressure to 936 mb. This is 10 mb down from the last fix. Also, max flght level winds are up to 138 kts (158 mph). If this trend continues, it's possible that Dean could near Category 5 status a lot sooner than expected.

Gabe
 
They are going to Jamaica. They aborted the Yucatan plans last night for fear that Dean may go just north of there. Also, Jamaica will be hit in the day time

Wow! I wish them luck... Why do I have this feeling that this will be an upper 100s storm when it hits Jamaica... this ain't no chicken dinner, they better not make any mistakes...
 
they know what they are doing and they are going to have a very fun time unless the storm veers away(like ivan)

how much does a last minute flight to jamaica cost?

last minute flights to houston are 500$... I guess thats not that bad.

....i need a few more promotions I think though.
 
I will pray this thing moves north east and misses Jamiaca,The United States or any other country. The last thing we need is another Katrina on our hands. If anyone does chase this please be safe and remember not to go joy riding in the middle of this thing.

Image may be old but is a good satalite shot of Dean:

OSEIiod7.jpg
 
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A rental car in kingston is 50$ a day:P

I wonder if the airlines are gonna cancel flights tomorrow... they might...
 
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People are saying this "will" become a Cat 5 Hurricane. That is a big assumption but I have to agree. I think it will happen tommorow or Sunday. Anyone else think this?
 
MY OBSERVATION

Either way, some people are gettin their a$$es beat by this monster. Im thinkin a lower TX hit. It'd be best for a Kennedy County landfall, considering not even 1,000 people live there, and its between Corpus Christi and Brownsville, so, not too bad.
 
People are saying this "will" become a Cat 5 Hurricane. That is a big assumption but I have to agree. I think it will happen tommorow or Sunday. Anyone else think this?

It's a pretty big deal when you're forecasting a storm to reach Category 5 intensity, but I don't think that it's unwarranted in this case. Most models forecast Dean to approach or exceed the Cat 4/5 threshold by Monday morning. This seems reasonable given the favorable upper-air pattern (upper-low to the NE; ridge directly overhead; upper-low to the NW) and the very high upper oceanic heat content near
Jamaica.

Upper Oceanic Heat Content:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2007228ca.jpg

Gabe
 
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