MODS: If you think this post is a too pre-mature, feel free to delete it, Im just putting in my 2 cents here and seeing what the board thinks.
As you can see from the NHC site, there is a weak disturbance in the Gulf, which is actually the leftover remnants of TD from the Pacific. I mention this b/c, believe it or not, some of the models do blow this up into a named storm. The GFS from this morning would lend one to believe so. Would be nice to see pressure data from 42002 but seeing how its still effed up, cant really rely on it too much. Wish to God theyd get around to fixing it, its only buoy in the Bay of Campeche
GFS run from 100904_1200: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2010090412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
Right now the shear across the WRN Gulf is pretty stout but think it should relax a bit over the next day or so. Dry air over the southern US should erode as this past weeks strong CF retreats as WF on Sun/Mon bringing deeper moisture with it.
As you can see from the NHC site, there is a weak disturbance in the Gulf, which is actually the leftover remnants of TD from the Pacific. I mention this b/c, believe it or not, some of the models do blow this up into a named storm. The GFS from this morning would lend one to believe so. Would be nice to see pressure data from 42002 but seeing how its still effed up, cant really rely on it too much. Wish to God theyd get around to fixing it, its only buoy in the Bay of Campeche
GFS run from 100904_1200: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2010090412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
Right now the shear across the WRN Gulf is pretty stout but think it should relax a bit over the next day or so. Dry air over the southern US should erode as this past weeks strong CF retreats as WF on Sun/Mon bringing deeper moisture with it.