Haven't had much time to chew on the data before going to bed, and may change my mind in the morning. But while the TOP sounding is to-die for with enough daytime heating, I just don't like all that early crap going on down in KS, plus it's liable to get swept from the southwest pretty soon. I'm looking north where there's plenty of moisture and a little less capola -- between Aberdeen and the Twin Cities somewhere.
[morning edit] Northern action looks like it's going to be late and east into MN and WI. I really don't want to be way up here for the longer term in this pattern anyway. The picture down in the Arklatex are is more comprehensible with drylines and sunshine and stuff. Decent soundings. Put me in Greenville, TX, just northeast of Dallas.