Chase Case #6 (2010 Version)

[Dann Cianca]

Little behind here, so let me catch up.

Night before: Overnighting in Omaha, Nebraska.

12Z update: Going to get things going and head to Decatur City, Iowa. Will easily be in place by 17 or 18Z, whenever the next update is for.

 

[James Gustina]

Looking at the 13Z run I'll reposition to Quincy, IL

 

[Marcus Diaz]

Making the morning drive from Wichita to bug my buddy Corey Sloan in Cameron, MO. From here we'll probably grab some grub and discuss our next move.

 

[Jeff Duda]

And the bifurcation of targets begins. What to choose: north or south? This case is remarkably similar to chase case #5. Concerned about the backing of winds at and above 700 mb over KS (same as chase case #5). My brain is missing the pattern recognition that tells me what to do when seeing that. My forecast was wrong the last time I saw this setup. I'll pick the north this time. I'm going to leave Ames and head east on I-80, then south on U.S. 218 towards Mt. Pleasant, IA where I'll await data at a later time.

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

Marcus, I'll be in Cameron, Mo, too. The Shell station has a Baskin-Robins

 

[Joshua Nall]

Seeing the low at 12z has not made much eastward progress I'm just going to head NW. Will be 40 min E of Springfield, MO at 16z.

 

[Nick Nolte]

I'll stay put in Green Rock, IL and see what the next update has in store

 

[Matt Sellers]

Holding at Ames, IA through at least the 16z data suite.

 

[Josh VandenTop]

I'm going to head down to Missouri Valley, IA and wait for the 16z data.

 

[Randall Cooper]

I really see no reason to move yet. I'll stay in St. Joseph, MO til the 18z data comes out.

 

[Robert Dewey]

Well, 4h 30m to Unionville, MO. That should put me there by 17:30z.

 

[Brandon Jenkins]

Also heading from Wichita to Kansas City, KS, should arrive in time for the 16z update.

 

[Bob Hartig]

Staying put in Des Moines till the next update.

 

[L.B. LaForce]

I'm late, so I can teleport right? I'll teleport myself to Macomb, IL

 

[Jeremy Perez]

Had a little fun marking up the surface map which for once (for me) agreed well with the synoptic diagram on the 12Z composite. 12Z to 13Z satellite shows cirrus clearing rapidly eastward at the IA/MO border north of the advancing warm front. Looks like this area will be in line with the surface low as it propagates east-northeast. Surface and 925 mb moisture is currently in place through much of MO and east KS and advecting north/north-northeast on a 35+ kt LLJ.

I want to position a bit further southeast, hopefully in better position for the advancing moisture and anticipated triple point. I'll be joining Jeff in Mt. Pleasant, IA by 16Z (and wondering if the River Dance will be required today).

Surface Markup