Chase Case #3

[John Farley]

I'm going to say I was caught in the middle with tornadoes north and south but me in the middle. That never happens to anyone!

Well, it happened to me, too, Verne. And it also happens to me more than I like in real life .

Looks like that cell I saw up near Granite Falls but could not get to did produce - other than that, nothing in MN. Time to head back to New Ulm one more time for a cold one!

Thanks for putting this together, Andrew.

 

[Marc Austin]

Well I guess I got lucky this time. Usually I'll play it further south, but the high temps down there made me skeptical of the cap ever eroding. This was a lot of fun! I can't wait for another. Thanks Andrew!

Paul, at least half of the team saw something today. Not sure who the Danish guys were with. I'll meet you halfway in Witchita and we can talk about tomorrows setup.

 

[Dann Cianca]

Hmmm ... started in Morris, MN and then went south and east (toward Fairmont) ... although on the way I would have probably stuck on the developing storms and watched the tornados cross the highway (US 12) I was on ...

Should I give myself that one?

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Ehi Iowa went crazy! Thanks Andrew for this enjoyable case. Congratulations on all the chasers who nailed the tubes. I'm at outback in Ft.Dodge, I'm looking for someone who want to join my group and have a steak with us.

 

[Michael P. Morris]

Oh well. Nothing to see here, but I can go back to the in-laws and have a drink and crash instead of making the drive back home.

 

[Dennis Dennison]

Well I missed the boat-the storms I thought might produce only put down 1" hail and not as far south as I had hoped--I may have been able to get near to them, but it was a bUST here. Maybe some decent CU pics.

 

[Josh Richardson]

Well I started off the day in Southern MN but thankfully abandoned that and kept drifting south down 169 all day which put me in perfect position.

Oddly enough, I dont even remember this day at all for some reason.

 

[David Wolfson]

Well, none for me, and the 1,000 mile drive back. Thermodynamics won the day, while I was banking more on aerodynamics. Also I like to mull over all the surface obs and realize I incorrectly discounted the surface analysis because it showed only a few stations at large scale. Usually I reeely like triple-points.

Thanks also, Andrew, for taking the time and effort to put this together!

 

[Patrick Martin]

Ooof, major bust!!! Congrats to those that nailed it.

Andrew thanks for pulling this together. It was fun.

 

[John Farley]

Well, none for me, and the 1,000 mile drive back. Thermodynamics won the day, while I was banking more on aerodynamics. Also I like to mull over all the surface obs and realize I incorrectly discounted the surface analysis because it showed only a few stations at large scale. Usually I reeely like triple-points.

I made that mistake, too. As I sit here in New Ulm sipping my beer, I am thinking that a related thing that threw me was the initial surface analysis showing the "warm front" in Minnesota and the later ones putting it back down in IA. With few stations on the surface analysis, it was hard to tell whether the placement of the WF was correct, and I had my doubts about whether the front would really have retrograded south that much. I guess it did.

 

[JF Massicotte]

My starting target was about 90 miles to the NE at 12Z... I suppose there is about 60% chance I would have taken the right decision to aim for 3-pt to my SW and 40% I would have ended up with Verne with tornadoes to my N and S...

Wasn't there to finish the exercise so let's see next time. Thank you for posting a hard case like that... Very good challenge!

 

[Robert Edmonds]

Probably saw some hail and wind in KS. It was atleast not a clear sky bust. Probably some good structure out of it all.

 

[Mike Peregrine]

Since my goal these days is just to be in the same state with a tornado after targeting, I feel this was a highly highly successful virtual event and all my goals were achieved flawlessly. Thanks again for the fun - -

 

[Darin Brunin]

hey ... good point ... I think you're right ... that CF stuff isn't going to amount to anything worthwhile. Actually, I don't remember any day like that either - I'm staying put and hoping for the best. Will get some good lightning shots if anything.

Sure enough...on May 18, 2005 I chased the crappy KS storm that we were making fun of lol. It looked good for all of about 2 minutes until it got undercut by the CF.

 

[Brian Stertz]

Yep got the tube so steak dinner in order Andrea. Wondering when/where next chase will be??