Mike Davis
EF1
In the wake of TS Ana (Ah-Na) is TS Bill. Moving West at about half the speed of Ana, Bill looks like it will have plenty of time and atmospheric space to develop into a much stronger storm.
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"Bill" moving West and looking strong
- Thread starter Mike Davis
- Start date
Tim Lumb
Yes, before when Bill became a Tropical Depression / became Bill NHC forecasted it to become a hurricane by Wednesday/Thursday, now they are forcasting for it to become a hurricane by tomorrow, and a Category 3+ hurricane by Wednesday/Thursday. At the moment it looks like it will curve out to see without fully hitting the coast, but Bermuda could get hit.
Shane Adams
It'd be nice if it could skirt the east coast, as I'm heading to Boston Saturday morning. Be cool to get some good surf (at the very least) while I'm there. I'll have my video camera so maybe I'll get my first tropical weather on tape. In any case, looks like I'll get the remains of Ana as I drive out.
Tim Lumb
Ana has been downgraded to a depression but looks to stay that while going over Carribean.
From the track NHC are forecasting, Bermuda could be hit hard.
From the track NHC are forecasting, Bermuda could be hit hard.
Tarmo Tanilsoo
EF5
In the longer run, some models are thinking of a recurve - hinting eventually its remnants may end up somewhere in my side of the ocean. However, nothing likely for me at this moment, as at least the GFS model builds up a ridge of high pressure(which I tend to call "Ex-Hurricane Levee") over NE Europe just as probably then-ex-Bill gets around near Europe. However, that is so far out that everything is subject to change.
Right now, NHC is forecasting a 110 kt hurricane in its peak. Ouch!
Right now, NHC is forecasting a 110 kt hurricane in its peak. Ouch!
Tim Lumb
Bill is now a Hurricane, and looks to become a very big one.
Looks good.
Looks good.
Dan Robinson
This would definitely be worth a trip. Gloucester Point has some rocky shores that create some incredible wave action. I was up there one spring visiting my sister and her family right after a small nor'easter passed, and even then the waves were insane. The waves hit the rocks and launch walls of water high into the air. I got nailed by a couple of them, almost losing my HD camera to one.
Here is a clip from that day - I can't imagine this scene with a hurricane (or remnants thereof) offshore:
http://stormhighway.com/blog/march307hdvideo.shtml
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
I am almost "considering" a Bermuda trip on this one. Last minute flights there (from FL) are do-able. I'll watch the next couple of days.
The cons on such a chase are (ofcourse) being a tiny "point" which the storm can miss, especially with a re-curving system. Second, getting stuck there for a long time.
Finally, some SW shear if forecasted late in the forcast period, with Bill deteriorating somewhat near Bermuda (late Fri / early Sat) in response to the big "US Vaccination against tropical cyclones that always happens to be there" trough along the Eastern US.
I am almost "considering" a Bermuda trip on this one. Last minute flights there (from FL) are do-able. I'll watch the next couple of days.
The cons on such a chase are (ofcourse) being a tiny "point" which the storm can miss, especially with a re-curving system. Second, getting stuck there for a long time.
Finally, some SW shear if forecasted late in the forcast period, with Bill deteriorating somewhat near Bermuda (late Fri / early Sat) in response to the big "US Vaccination against tropical cyclones that always happens to be there" trough along the Eastern US.
MClarkson
EF5
If that trough can slow down just a bit... the 06Z GFS is faster and has the trough too close to Bermuda in 5 days with too much 200mb wind(~50kt)... the 00z euro is significantly better with the trough still well to the west and a decent upper level anti-cyclone over the western Atlantic. If the euro can verify its worth keeping an eye on!
Tim Lumb
Now a Category 2 hurricane, said to have wind speeds of around 100mph.
Tim Lumb
Bill is now Category 4!
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
The storm is very impressive, with cloud top temperatures of -80 C (about -112 deg F) - Yikes!
Bermuda seems spared as it should be well east of the core of the system this weekend, so a chase there is not anticipated.
The storm should remain an open water system - furtunately.
The storm is very impressive, with cloud top temperatures of -80 C (about -112 deg F) - Yikes!
Bermuda seems spared as it should be well east of the core of the system this weekend, so a chase there is not anticipated.
The storm should remain an open water system - furtunately.
Bill Tabor
EF5
Hurricane Bill....hmm sounds like a respectable name for a big storm to me! 
Too bad Bill won't come visit in the Gulf and bring us Texans some decent rain. We are in sore need.
Too bad Bill won't come visit in the Gulf and bring us Texans some decent rain. We are in sore need.
Larry J. Kosch
EF2
How Fast is Bill Going??
I took a look at the 5-day forecast cone track on this website:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents
What really boggles my mind is the speed of the storm once it goes extra-tropical!!
I did some measuring on the map between 8 a.m. Monday and 8 a.m. Tuesday. I estimated the distance to be about 1,750 miles. To cover that distance in 24 hours, the storm would need to travel almost 73 mph!!
Now I wonder as to what is the modern day travel speed of a extra-tropical storm?? This could take some research, but it's worth a try!!
I took a look at the 5-day forecast cone track on this website:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents
What really boggles my mind is the speed of the storm once it goes extra-tropical!!
I did some measuring on the map between 8 a.m. Monday and 8 a.m. Tuesday. I estimated the distance to be about 1,750 miles. To cover that distance in 24 hours, the storm would need to travel almost 73 mph!! Now I wonder as to what is the modern day travel speed of a extra-tropical storm?? This could take some research, but it's worth a try!!
Tarmo Tanilsoo
EF5
Wow. In 24 hours almost to the other side of the ocean! If this verifies, I'd be calling this low a "Meteorological Concorde"
