Glen Romine
EF5
Not saying the wind profile is horrid - but there doesn't appear to be anything that screams tornado. MKX/GRB/LOT all issued TOR's on storms with fairly weak rotation and so far no reports that I can see...
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As opposed to the 'rock star' environment in North Dakota? I think I'd take the marginal supercell in northern IL over what the envinronment in ND is dishing out right now. If the SPC graphics aren't totally out to lunch, effective shear on the warm side of the boundary in ND is maybe 30 knts, and storms there seem to have the appearance of that type of environment. If you are into parameters, the 6 pm mesoanalysis graphic has a STP of 4 in WI with CIN of -25 or less vs. STP of 2 in ND with CIN of -200. Given the former is also overlayed with 55 knts of effective shear , as well as some convective development in the area, - I don't see any real problem if folks wanted to talk about it. SPC may not be impressed, but maybe the atmosphere will feel differently. Could be, and probably is, that those graphics are out to lunch, but it just seems no worse for discussion.
Glen