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4/24/07 NOW: OK / TX / KS

  • Thread starter Thread starter Billy Griffin
  • Start date Start date
Denton County: As per live Denton County, TX fire scanner.....At least 30 Mobile homes damaged, a roof lifted off a building and heavy tree damage.
 
Looks like a potent squall line right now, unfortunately, as per the 500 MB winds and 850 MB winds being all southerly (meridonal flow). Some embedded meso's are present in this line, but is is moving rather fast. It goes from SE Nebraska to well past Wichita Falls / DFW, TX.

Right now, if anyone can take a crack at it, there might be some "evening hope" in SW to S-Central Kansas as the dryline is bulging out. Upper airflow at 300 MB is difluent and more SW, which is good, as long as the Colorado low can back the winds.

Subsidence behind the squall line, dry air at 700 MB may create a capping issue unless we can get good heating / rebounding.

The Colorado low is UNMISTAKABLE, just loop a radar image from PUX (Pueblo, CO) and watch it spin ;-)
 
Well, I was trying to find a contact phone number on the NWS DFW website to notify them of the damage and confirmed TOR reports I was hearing, but the NWS is so careful about not giving it to the public that they are jeapordizing critical information such as this, from getting through to them. Geeez.
 
APritchard again stealing Skip's identity. We have been sitting in the same parking lot in Enid OK since about 10 this morning and are getting kinda annoyed. I still kinda like southern Kansas and may try and persuade a trip up there. However, the southern game has our attention as well. Til then, we'll continue to sit here and think ourselves to death. Still 5-6 hours of daylight left. Dinner anyone? ;)
 
DALLAS/FT WORTH,TX (KDFW) ASOS reports gust of 54 knots from W @ 1944Z KDFW 241944Z 27045G54KT 1/4SM R17C/1400V5500FT +TSRA FG SQ SCT001BKN014 OVC020CB 18/17 A2971
 
Circulation weakening in Osage County near Pawhuska. Nobody would be able to see anything anyway as it is right in the middle of the heavy rain core...totally rain-wrapped.
 
The storm prediction center has upgraded portions of Texas to a high risk. They have, however, lowered the tornado risk in a large portion of OK. No longer seeing the higher probabilities. The dry line remains west of Oklahoma City. New RUC shows instability increasing again west of OK City and helicity values increasing during the evening and overnight. Storm Prediction Center doesn't seem as confident now about the tornado threat in OK. Remains strong in Kansas and Northeast TX.
 
Me, Daniel Betton and Curtis Mcdonald are currently crossing the red river, driving in extremely dangerous pouring rain after hoping for supercells in south central oklahoma that turned into a massive rainfest. Now we are flying south and are trying to get to Waco before all hell breaks loose.
 
Changing gears a bit,

SPC Has HIGH RISK for central TX (near Waco). Setup is radically different, but with a high risk I hope this is not another "Jerrell, TX Day" - 30% hatched tornado is scary.
 
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