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4/24/07 NOW: OK / TX / KS

  • Thread starter Thread starter Billy Griffin
  • Start date Start date
I'm sitting in Enid right now and off to my west I am seeing some Cu developing. They don't look very crisp, though, and are moving rapidly to the north.
 
The current scenario is shaping up very similarly to May 25th, 1997. Anyone who gives up on Nrn OK/Srn KS before sunset may be making a terrible mistake....a mistake we made about 630 pm that day. As of now, I still plan on heading that way around 4 pm when I'm finally able to get out of here.

Also remember, it is only 1:23 pm sun time right now.
 
Confirmed tornado about to pass over or at least very near Radar site KFWS in the next 15-30 mins. Look out east side of Ft Worth, Arlington, West Dallas.
 
Tornado warning now issued for southern Tarrant County including south Fort Worth.

I think I'm seeing a pretty decent hook signature forming on that Denton County storm as well.
 
Just before 1pm NWS radar was tracking a tornado 39 miles SE of Limon, CO. The Lincoln county sheriff has reported 5 separate tornado touchdowns.
 
I still don't know how to forcast worth crap, but I do a good job a watching radar and it appears that the line moving through Central Ok. appears to be shrinking in coverage.
 
Sitting near Caney, KS trying to make a decision on what I should do next. Thinking of heading into OK but I'm hesitant to give up on KS. Any suggestions?
 
I am listening to the Denton County, TX fire scanner. They are saying over the radio that they are evacuating a mobile home trailer park and sending resident to the library before tthe tornado hits them.

EDIT: Denton County Fire Dept. reports a roof has just been blown off the Villa Grande restaurant.
 
I'm sitting in Enid right now and off to my west I am seeing some Cu developing. They don't look very crisp, though, and are moving rapidly to the north.
Chris, me an my partners are out side Enid and we are seeing the same thing to west adn sout west as well. NWS is monitoring this area for redevelopment.
 
looks like a classic cold core event under way in eastern colorado. and it appears now that the linear convection is begging to evolve into more supercellular type convection. now to see if some of these individual cells can get surface based? i wouldn't give up on the day yet. there is still plenty of time for things to get re-energized behind the current convection too.
 
18Z Dallas sounding looks really good, and some nice supercells are getting their act together down there. Let's see if this can spread northward into eastern OK...the 12Z NCEP hi-res WRF-NMM finally came out and is bringing 50kt 850mb flow into the region along/east of I-35 by 00Z. Of course, none of the other models have anything like that, and the WRF-NMM didn't predict a squall line, so we'll see.

**EDIT: originally posted to FCST thread by mistake, moved it here.

**EDIT: Fort Worth VWP shows low-level winds rapidly veering out and decreasing in magnitude, looks like conditions are rapidly becoming less favorable, as indicated by most of the models.
 
UPDATE DENTON COUNTY, TX:

The fire apparatus are now broadcasting that a tornado is on the ground and going to strike the area of the nursing home in less than 2 minutes. They are going through those neighborhoods and announcing this on the loudspeaker...except they don't realize that their mic's are open also.
 
Sitting near Caney, KS trying to make a decision on what I should do next. Thinking of heading into OK but I'm hesitant to give up on KS. Any suggestions?


Do not give up on southern Kansas! Latest SPC mesoanalysis puts the best parameters from Grant/Kay counties in OK north into Sumner/Sedgwick/Cowley/Butler counties in KS. I expect one or more tornadic supercells in this general vicinity in another 3-4 hours.

Maybe head a bit west from Caney, but you're not in a bad spot at all.
 
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