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3/23/2009 NOW: SD/NE/KS/OK

We just pulled off the storm southeast of Hutchinson. It had a nice low base by Kingan, but you can tell the storm continously went down hill as it moved into lower dewpoints. We are heading back to 135 and heading south to the OK-KS border area. I really think you are going to have to be inside that 58 td moisture tounge tonight to get some decent tornadoes. The best low level shear doesn't start kicking in until near 00Z anyway, so I am looking to intercept a storm developing in Oklahoma that is moving towards the Winfield to Wichita area later today.
 
There appears to be a mesolow over Lyons Co. with a small dryline bulge just to the south. There are some new cells developing to the east of the low/bulge.
 
Here in Oklahoma it looks like we have sort of a weak warm frontal setup. Looking at the SKEW-Ts I have doubts that storms in northern Oklahoma will stay surface based after crossing into that cool air mass, though that could change in the evening as colder mid-level temperatures arrive.

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SPC analysis also keeps hanging onto some sort of convergent center in far SW Oklahoma, though I'm not seeing much wind field response so far.

Tim
 
Those storms near and NE of the low are taking a westerly twist to their northern movement ... kinda reminds me of a miniature version of 5/22 or of a little hurricane or something.

The one in Seward Co. in Nebraska has the best look to it as far as the northern target goes, and the one to the south by KVNX had a decent echo a moment ago.

ADD: The one by KWTX just went severe and is looking GREAT on radar. Tim - I see what you mean by the warm front, but how much change is there at the boundary? Couldn't the tighter T/Td gradient perhaps help things out a bit in this case?
 
Anyone else seeing the tight couplet on the cell ESE of Salina, KS?
This storm is blowing up quickly.
 
I was thinking the same thing...vil's are spiking and there looks to be a couplet forming. Nice, clean inflow into this storm as well.

The couplet keeps going from good to eh to good to eh in the progressive scans. It indeed has a clear path of inflow, and a VERY nice shape on radar, but I wonder how long it has to potentially do something before the line a county behind it makes a chew toy out of it.
 
Rotation marker and TVS showing on the storm approaching I-35 at the KS/OK border; SVR warning indicates golfball hail.
 
Still sitting in Okarche, OK. Unorganized storms keep flying by me. It appears visually they are progressively getting more organized. The one near the KS/OK border looks nice on radar and SVR warned.
 
Suprised no one has mentioned the storm just SE of Lincoln, NE. Been TOR warned for awhile now and had an impressive couplet for a couple of scans as well as a nice 'boot' shaped hook. It appears to be recycling on the SE'ern flank at the moment.
 
Hook SSE of MHK.

Second less impressive hook but nice couplet near Arkansas City. TVS on this cell.
 
Suprised no one has mentioned the storm just SE of Lincoln, NE. Been TOR warned for awhile now and had an impressive couplet for a couple of scans as well as a nice 'boot' shaped hook. It appears to be recycling on the SE'ern flank at the moment.

You're right! Very nice looking storm at the moment but it has weakened some in the last few scans passing just east of Lincoln. If it means anything, TVS signature on this storm right now. I was so caught up looking at the more southern cells that this one snuck up on me :)
 
I cannot believe the storm near Manhattan KS is not TOR warned.........it has had a really nice hook echo for more than a few scans now.
 
Craig Maire II reporting possible tornado near Gueda Springs KS.

Edit: definite.
 
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