Verne Carlson
EF5
Time to start a forecast thread for this first day of possibly three days in a row for chasing in the TX/OK panhandles and east into central OK.
GFS continues to want to bring a neutral axis trough into the TX/OK panhandle at 0Z with 45Kt winds nosing into mid 50s Tds in sw KS/OK panhandles. Precip breaks out by 0Z in this area of the triple point with a distinct dryline down along the TX/OK border. Surface winds back along the KS/OK border near Liberal, KS. This could be the 'day before' event if the 500mb winds continue to progress on each GFS run.
GFS continues to want to bring a neutral axis trough into the TX/OK panhandle at 0Z with 45Kt winds nosing into mid 50s Tds in sw KS/OK panhandles. Precip breaks out by 0Z in this area of the triple point with a distinct dryline down along the TX/OK border. Surface winds back along the KS/OK border near Liberal, KS. This could be the 'day before' event if the 500mb winds continue to progress on each GFS run.
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