Andy Wehrle
EF5
Two areas of localized potential for a "break-in the season" chase this afternoon. Tornado potential appears to be maximized near the triple point in east-central to SE MN and west-central WI. It's not exceptionally stellar, but could get interesting if a cell can find a localized pocket of stronger instability to take advantage of the shear/hodographs available.
As things stand, it's just out of range for me for an after-work chase, considering tree/terrain issues along and east of the river valley and overall setup quality. If the peak risk area were just 50 miles further south, or if it looked like a higher-end event, I'd go for it.
Haven't really looked into the other target (which until this morning looked like the only one, thanks NAM!).
As things stand, it's just out of range for me for an after-work chase, considering tree/terrain issues along and east of the river valley and overall setup quality. If the peak risk area were just 50 miles further south, or if it looked like a higher-end event, I'd go for it.
Haven't really looked into the other target (which until this morning looked like the only one, thanks NAM!).
