2017-05-16 EVENT: TX/OK/KS/NE/IA/MN

Supercells have indeed formed this afternoon/evening along the dry line and are pushing into West Central Oklahoma at a rather rapid pace right now. So far the main threat from these appears to have been HUGE hail, with radar showing the storm by Sayre having 5 inches at one point. Looking at the latest mesoanalysis does show a favorable overlap of thermos and kinematics across Western Oklahoma this evening. However CIN is starting to rapidly increase across this area and this concerns me that the tornado threat could be ending sooner than later. I know there was at least 1 tornado earlier near McLean, Texas....so not a total bust, but I figured given the ambient environment these storms have to work with, they would have gone more insane by now.