2012-04-14 MISC: TX/OK/KS/NE/IA

[Craig Norris]

Looks like Wichita proper is going to dodge the heart of this thing. I've been so dialed in on these two cells the last few hours I havent looked at any other data. My question for the pros is is there still enough instability and shear to support this beast a few more hours as it marches NE towards KC metro

 

[Tim Vasquez]

A few minutes ago I measured (on GRLevel2) 140 kt of shear across a cyclonic couplet 1 mile in diameter centered on the northwest edge of McConnell AFB. This might have caused some serious damage on I-35... looks to me that the circulation has tracked up the freeway somewhat. Andover now... sigh... shades of 4/26/91.

Craig: not sure about KC... haven't had time to look at other data. Maybe someone here knows.

Tim

EDIT: I meant NORTHWEST, not northeast edge of McConnell.. sorry.

 

[rdale]

The ICT cell's future was just addressed in the MCD.

 

[Bob Schafer]

Craven/Brooks drops off significantly toward KC, Sup Composite not so much, Siggy Tor drops a ton...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=14#

 

[Eric Birch]

Yep over Andover to El Dorado next.

 

[Jason Bolt]

Listening to Butler Co. KS, I believe El Dorado, it's unbelievable. Radio traffic saying "do you see any reason why we should sound the sirens yet?" "It wasn't authorized by me..." While they are in the TOR warning and the EOC had said to sound the sirens not to mention wording of a large and dangerous confirmed TOR on the ground. Unreal.

 

[dkraus]

KAKE is live streaming now, local spotters reporting damage to a large mobile home park near the weather service office.

 

[Eric Birch]

Two areas of circulation again and reflectivity and velocity not matching again necessarily. Looks like another debris ball.

 

[Jason Bolt]

TWC just ran across the ticker that "Macksville, KS Tornado Emergency" good grief that was an hour ago. You would think the nation's largest commercial weather outfit could disseminate accurate, current information.

 

[Jason Bolt]

Interesting with so many "spotter confirmed large and dangerous tornado" wordings how we are not getting more damage reports...

 

[Rob Gardner]

Interesting with so many "spotter confirmed large and dangerous tornado" wordings how we are not getting more damage reports...

Its likely very hard / impossible to get to the worst damaged areas or get a signal there when you do

 

[Craig Norris]

thanks for the heads up rdale, will make my night alot longer following that particular cell. Anyone else watching the Buffalo OK line as it moves into KS? Looks like that may be pushing development out in front of it into a still ripe environment.

Smolan KS tornado still going strong, following same path almost identical to stovepipe from earlier today.

 

[Tim Vasquez]

Storm is much more HPish and is starting into another cycle with new circulation on its southeast flank. It almost seems like the storm has an agenda to hit all the towns it can... El Dorado this time.

 

[MClarkson]

Plus its dark. Everything dealing with damage reports slows down when its dark, especially if power is out. It looks like there was solid low level rotation on the 0.5 degree close range tilt near the I35 and 96 interchange near Andover. Combined with a classic hook. With all the attention on Wichita its important to remember there are 2 solid cells near Salina. The lead cell is missing the city proper but may have just drilled the small town of Assaria. The second cell... if it cycles once to the right, could be a closer call for Salina itself.

 

[Eric Birch]

Occluded again...circulation back and headed SE of El Dorado. Hopefully last cycle. Appears good environment stops up by Emporia but that is quick glance.