Robert Dewey
EF5
Well, it looks like another winter storm is possible. Models have been all over the place with strength and location, so pinning down any accumulations of ice or snow is pretty much impossible at this point.
GFS is the farthest north model... The canadian GEM is along the lines of the GFS, with the Regional GEM being pretty strong. The NAM is the farthest south, along with the ECMWF - But, the NAM has been trending northward. Given all of that, the potential for a winter storm appears somewhat elevated.
NCEP's HPC has a low risk for >8 inch accumulations for portions of MI, with a widespread 4-8 inch area from MN to MI and points eastward. Though, I wouldn't put too much faith into any accumulation forecasts at this point.
Our local TV stations have been playing things up for the past several days, and I am at a loss as to why (ratings?). One of the mets stated "This is going to be a really strong storm with the potential for high winds as well as significant snow accumulation"... And that was two or three days ago... I was looking at the NAM and GFS thinking huh?
GFS is the farthest north model... The canadian GEM is along the lines of the GFS, with the Regional GEM being pretty strong. The NAM is the farthest south, along with the ECMWF - But, the NAM has been trending northward. Given all of that, the potential for a winter storm appears somewhat elevated.
NCEP's HPC has a low risk for >8 inch accumulations for portions of MI, with a widespread 4-8 inch area from MN to MI and points eastward. Though, I wouldn't put too much faith into any accumulation forecasts at this point.
Our local TV stations have been playing things up for the past several days, and I am at a loss as to why (ratings?). One of the mets stated "This is going to be a really strong storm with the potential for high winds as well as significant snow accumulation"... And that was two or three days ago... I was looking at the NAM and GFS thinking huh?