10/29/04 NOW: Upper Midwest

Joined
Feb 19, 2004
Messages
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Location
Erie IL
Some of the moisture must be getting mixed out as the Td's have dropped to the low 60's right ahead of the front. That's not too good.

There is a ling of cumulus along the CF now though in western IA. Looks like a thin squal line will be what will emerge out of that.

Further north in southern MN currently looks the best for tornadic activity.

It feels like summer here in NW IL. Td's nearing 70!!?!?
 
[2105Z]Nice cell going up in Sibley Co., MN that looks to track west of the Twin Cities over the next 60-90 minutes. Other cells popping up in Emmet Co., IA and Martin Co., MN.

Regards,

Mike
 
Looks like stuff in central MN is taking advantage of good moistconv but running away from good instab - and stuff south has the juice to pop but not sustaining...
 
[2120z] Storm over Sibley Co. MN is holding together, currently showing an elevated core of >60dbz while cell just south of Mankato in Blue Earth Co. MN continues to intensify with a deep elevated core of >50dbz returns now.

Regards,

Mike
 
Yep, looks like that cell west of the Twin Cities will be of little significance. On the other hand, the cells from Mankato south into IA should be able to take advantage of >250 m2/s2 0-1km SRH over southeast MN. Should be interesting over the nest few hours.

Regards,

Mike
 
[2158z] Looks like a isolated cell is trying to develop over northeastern Wnnebago Co., IA/southern Freeborn Co. MN in advance of the squall line. Cells north of Mankato still holding together and moving towards the Twin Cities, but nothing too impressive as of yet.

Also interesting is line of TCU's from developing from northwest MO into cetral IA in advance of squall line and cold front.

Regards,

Mike
 
[2209Z] Isolated cells now popping up over central IA in advance of squall line. Most interesting cell at the moment os over Decatur Co, moving into southern Clarke Co.

Regards,

Mike
 
Update from NE WI

(ADMIN delete: currents from GRB. -mpalmer)

TWC radar shows a nice hook developing on that storm south of Des Moines.
 
Trees and power lines downed in jasper co. iowa. The storms are moving ENE and NE at 50-65mph.

Radar is detecting 70knot winds in the storms east of St paul Minn. Its gonna be a long night.

EDIT. Tornado warnings up for Livingston and ford counties in Ill. Strong rotation on radar, well defined hook echo.
 
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