Bill Schintler
EF4
Chase Target for Today, March 4
Target:
Chaffee, MO
Timing:
Storm initiation near Perryville, MO around 4 PM CST. Storms will move ESE at around 25 mph and may become strong by 5:30 PM.
Primary severe threat:
Hail to 1â€
Discussion:
Today will be similar to yesterday, only 250 mi to the east. A potent shortwave will once again approach SERN MO and WRN TN from the NW by late afternoon. This is evident in the current WV loop as a dry slot pushing E through ERN KS. With T/Td approaching 65/51, 850 mb T/Td 6C/5C, 700 mb T of -6C, and 500 mb T of -23C; expect SBCAPE’s to approach 1000 J/kG and LI’s to approach -3C locally; along with SRH (0-3km) to near 200 m^2/s^2.
- bill
Target:
Chaffee, MO
Timing:
Storm initiation near Perryville, MO around 4 PM CST. Storms will move ESE at around 25 mph and may become strong by 5:30 PM.
Primary severe threat:
Hail to 1â€
Discussion:
Today will be similar to yesterday, only 250 mi to the east. A potent shortwave will once again approach SERN MO and WRN TN from the NW by late afternoon. This is evident in the current WV loop as a dry slot pushing E through ERN KS. With T/Td approaching 65/51, 850 mb T/Td 6C/5C, 700 mb T of -6C, and 500 mb T of -23C; expect SBCAPE’s to approach 1000 J/kG and LI’s to approach -3C locally; along with SRH (0-3km) to near 200 m^2/s^2.
- bill
