Predict the Number of Tornadoes and First high Risk of 2018

[Carl Berghoff]

Well although we have had a quiet start, (We all remember how in 2011 one day can change all of that) I would expect that we still will have a very active year ending up with tornado totals of approx. 1100 with the first High Risk on April 25 over SE Oklahoma and W Arkansas. Never tried predicting something this exact lol.
--Carl

 

[Randy Jennings]

1,278 tornados
May 5th in OK fir first high risk

 

[Tim Supinie]

Let's go 932 tornadoes for the entire year and April 30 in AR for the first high risk.

 

[John Olexa]

893 tornadoes. First high risk, April 12th Texas.

 

[Eric Hassfurther]

1026 tornadoes and first High Risk on May 16th in Oklahoma


Sent from my iPhone using Stormtrack

 

[Randall Bragg]

With my vast knowledge of tornado history during La Nina, which means "tiny margarita", I call 1002 verified tornadoes and one HR in LA/MS on May 7th

 

[Will Leskovec]

860 count and June 2nd in NE/IA

 

[James Hilger]

April 27th Oklahoma and Arkansas. 925 tornadoes.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Royce Sheibal]

827 Verified and 1st High on 4/28/18. Forecasting persistence from the last Post La Nina year, 2014. Also CFS starts to ramp up right around April 28th so it seems like a good guess. If we get a repeat of 2014, Dixie Alley gets hit in late April, we get one or two good days in the central plains in early May, then everything shifts into Nebraska / IA northern plains from early June all the way into July.

 

[Paul Knightley]

1305 tornadoes. May 2nd for High Risk (just plucking a date out the air, as there isn't really any other way!).