Predict the Number of Tornadoes and First high Risk of 2018

[Jason Boggs]

987 Tornadoes
1st HIGH RISK will be on June 11th in Eastern Oklahoma/Western Arkansas

 

[Devin Pitts]

1001 Tornadoes
1st High Risk in Central Kansas/OK. May 23rd.

 

[Timothy Schaffer]

1112 tornadoes
April 20 Alabama

 

[Jeff Smith]

1249 tornadoes.
1st High risk April 28 OK/Ks

 

[Jeff House]

Yes that's right. I got two of my TNI phases backwards. Note to self: Read the papers again before posting in Advanced Weather.

Thank you for renewing my optimism! If we can get Nino 1-2 to warm up a bit the TNI will be bullish.

Breakdown of Nina actually favors enhanced tornado activity over the southern plains, according to research....

Guess I'll keep my crazy Dixie Alley prediction since anything can happen. However I plan to chase the Plains.

 

[Michael Snyder]

1280 Windy Spin Devils
May 10th High risk

 

[Michael Towers]

975 tornadoes
1st High Risk April 12 MS/AL

 

[Jonathan Beeson]

1,150 tornadoes

First high risk April 29th MS/AL

 

[Billy Faletti]

967 tornadoes
No high risks.

 

[ChristofferB]

850 tornadoes.

May 5th will obviously be the first High Risk day with a bullseye over west/central OK.

 

[samuel stone]

May 25, Southern Nebraska/ Central Kansas/ North Central Oklahoma. 1090 total tornadoes.

 

[Mark Blue]

Last call for entries to the contest. It’ll run until March 31st at midnight. For those who have missed the total number of tornadoes, the state(s), or the exact date for the first High Risk, please contact a staff member so we can edit your post with the missing information by the deadline or not long after (couple of days). At stake is a $100.00 gift card to Amazon, B&H, or Newegg (winner’s choice) and bragging rights for a year.

We’ll put together the rules in the near future and post them here. I’d like for the OP @Jacob Hernandez to provide some input in the other thread where we’ve been discussing these items found here.

 

[JeremyS]

1012 tornadoes
May 10th Kansas and Oklahoma

 

[Tim Paitz]

875 tornadoes

No high risk

 

[MikeD]

765 tornadoes, high risk in early April in TN/MS/AR