Jacob Hernandez
EF0
Barring a massive change in the next day or so, it seems we will start 2018 somewhat calm (especially compared to 2017). From what I understand, La Nina years tend to have a higher tornado count than average and an earlier peak of the severe storm season (late April - mid May vs normally mid to late May). As we enter what is hopefully the last lull in the severe storm season until summer, I thought it would be fun to try our hand and predicting tornadoes this year. For this, please enter:
#1 Total Number of Tornadoes in 2018.
Estimate the final tally produced by the SPC on this page: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/adj.html.
#2 The Date of the First High Risk in 2018.
This will be the date that the SPC issues it's first high risk forecast. Pretty self explanatory.
For added fun, name at least ONE state that will be affected by the high risk.
If you want to be real intense, put your predicted high risk on a map.
Let's run this until either April 1st or if the first high risk is issued in March.
For my entry I predict:
1169 total tornadoes
the first high risk will be issued April 9th in MS/AL
#1 Total Number of Tornadoes in 2018.
Estimate the final tally produced by the SPC on this page: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/adj.html.
#2 The Date of the First High Risk in 2018.
This will be the date that the SPC issues it's first high risk forecast. Pretty self explanatory.
For added fun, name at least ONE state that will be affected by the high risk.
If you want to be real intense, put your predicted high risk on a map.
Let's run this until either April 1st or if the first high risk is issued in March.
For my entry I predict:
1169 total tornadoes
the first high risk will be issued April 9th in MS/AL