Paul Austin
With so many models and runs available every one to twelve hours, depending on the model, I would be interested to know of any patterns some of you have observed with various models.
I'm relatively new to interpreting model data, but I am aware of a few patterns associated with particular model runs; things such as over- or under-estimation of moisture return and depth, shortwave ejection speed, cap strength and erosion...But I haven't watched models long enough to know much.
I was just wondering if any of you would care to share any observations you have made regarding particular models, their comparison to each other, or any behaviors that occur under certain conditions. For example, sometimes models seem to slow systems down with successive runs, while at other times, the opposite is true. Have any of you noticed any conditions that would give you an early guess that one or the other might happen?
I was just thinking that knowing a little about what to expect from each model run could be invaluable for planning ahead. I know, out past a couple days, things get especially unreliable, but a more educated guess could certainly help.
I'm relatively new to interpreting model data, but I am aware of a few patterns associated with particular model runs; things such as over- or under-estimation of moisture return and depth, shortwave ejection speed, cap strength and erosion...But I haven't watched models long enough to know much.
I was just wondering if any of you would care to share any observations you have made regarding particular models, their comparison to each other, or any behaviors that occur under certain conditions. For example, sometimes models seem to slow systems down with successive runs, while at other times, the opposite is true. Have any of you noticed any conditions that would give you an early guess that one or the other might happen?
I was just thinking that knowing a little about what to expect from each model run could be invaluable for planning ahead. I know, out past a couple days, things get especially unreliable, but a more educated guess could certainly help.
