• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

Hurricane Season Guesses - 2015 Edition

Steve Miller

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For the 2015 hurricane season, which officially runs from June 1 - November 30, I have listed below some of the more prominent guesses from both public and private organizations.

SOME NOTES
Tropical season peak conditions: Sept 8-10 based on climatology
Named storms: winds of 39 mph or higher
Hurricane: winds of 74 mph or higher
Major hurricane: Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher


1434383790329

NOAA is predicting a 70 percent likelihood of 6 to 11 named storms , of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes, including zero to 2 major hurricanes. I'm not sure anyone could be more vague but butts are certainly well covered given a 30 percent swing as well as a moderate spread between high and low guesses.

1434383124097

A total of 9 named storms, 5 hurricanes and 1 major hurricane are expected this season, according to the forecast prepared by The Weather Channel Professional Division. This is below the 30-year average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

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With 8 named tropical storms, 4 hurricanes and 1 major hurricane predicted for the Atlantic Basin this season, AccuWeather.com's long-range forecasting team anticipates two or three of these systems to make landfall in the United States.

1434383959070

CSU's Philip Klotzbach and William Gray estimate that 2015 will have 8 named storms, 3 hurricanes and 1 major hurricane. Note: this is the June 1 outlook which includes Ana.

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WeatherBell kept it simple and to the point. Named Storms: 7-9, Hurricanes 3-5, Major Hurricanes: 1-2.
 
Where'd you get NOAA's prediction from? If there's a 70% chance of all that happening, what did they fill the remaining 30% of the forecast distribution with, wind-blown frogs and toads?
 
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