Ben Toms
EF0
While watching the towers being squashed by the subsidence/mid level dry punch along the dryline today in south-central Kansas, it was brought to my attention by Zach Young that the extreme temperatures across much of the U.S. this winter and early spring could possibly lead to more widespread EML problems throughout the rest of the chasing season. I hadn't thought much about this before he brought it up, but it makes sense. If the atmosphere is warming quicker and deeper than it usually would, could this affect lapse rates (and therefore instability) and result in an increased number of EML busts in the future?
I'm no expert on meteorological trends by any means, but I am under the impression that as we transition into El Nino surface temperatures tend to remain below average for much of the late spring and summer. My concern is the juxtaposition of these two extremes could lead to capping issues throughout the rest of the season. Am I justified for this concern? I'm sure there have been studies on this, I just can't seem to get my hands on them.
Ben Toms
I'm no expert on meteorological trends by any means, but I am under the impression that as we transition into El Nino surface temperatures tend to remain below average for much of the late spring and summer. My concern is the juxtaposition of these two extremes could lead to capping issues throughout the rest of the season. Am I justified for this concern? I'm sure there have been studies on this, I just can't seem to get my hands on them.
Ben Toms