MClarkson
EF5
Another system that is starting to look slightly interesting. The GFDL is the best case track(for a chaser) taking the storm along the islands and ultimately into south Florida as a significant hurricane. Euro has a similar track, but weaker, with barely a closed low. GFS and HWRF both jog the system well north, probably into recurving territory.
Maria is disorganized at the moment, with a blatantly exposed low level circulation on visible imagery a few hours ago, although in the last frame or two convection is again firing closer to the center. I don't know if this storm will survive the next few days. The upper level pattern in the later forecast period(4-5 days or so) improves with a nice upper level high forming over the Bahamas region per the GFS.
Maria is disorganized at the moment, with a blatantly exposed low level circulation on visible imagery a few hours ago, although in the last frame or two convection is again firing closer to the center. I don't know if this storm will survive the next few days. The upper level pattern in the later forecast period(4-5 days or so) improves with a nice upper level high forming over the Bahamas region per the GFS.