Mike Johnston
EF5
Will go ahead and start a forecast discussion for anyone interested, as SPC has delineated a moderate risk for severe weather over the Virginia and North Carolina Piedmont region today. Tornado threat is explicity mentioned in our local forecast here in Richmond, as soon as early this afternoon. Broad circulations of tropical low, passing well to our west, expected to provide farily strong dynamics given sufficient daytime heating - enhanced by upslope flow. Based on this morning's observations, especially visible satellite - looks like destabilization of boundary layer will be the biggest question mark. Widespread overcast now, with only a hint of clearing slot approaching from the south. Will try to follow this development today.