I am not so sure that much of Upstate New York and SW New England will be severe weather free today. Leftover boundaries and orographics will help provide lift this afternoon. There was a 2.5 degree cap present at 12z this morning in Albany, NY with a convective temperature of 92 degrees. Seeing as though we should be in the mid to upper 90's with plenty of sunshine today, I would expect isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop. Those that do develop should go severe pretty quickly. Forecast CAPE's in Albany are expected to be 6600 J/KG2 today with LI's nnear -6 to -7. Effectiver shear is 35-45 kts across the area and Helicity values are expected to be 150. Now with some cb towers building across NYS, I would expect at least isolated to scattered Severe thunderstorms this afternoon in New York and New England (likely further south than SPC currently has outlooked).