MatthewCarman
Looks like a wall cloud on the severestudios cam. Is that the funnel on the right side coming out of the wall cloud?
That storm that the severstudio crew is on now has DBZ of 72+. New tornado warned cell west of Valentine with a tornado reported with this storm.
For only a 5% chance of a tornado and only a slight risk this area is sure getting hammered. I think these storms should have waranted a mod risk. What was the reason for the SPC keeping the chances so low for lots of organized severe storms and tornadoes? (I based my forecasted which busted off of this)
New Funnel! Hopefully it looks good on the stream! SE of Atkinson, NE on HGWY 11.
Nebraska is rapidly looking like a mess too. I just hope it makes it to eastern NE for some lightning.
Not sure I'm seeing anything worth more than the 5% they had in place. So far only seeing the one report on LBF's list. And that one seems questionable. Nebraska is rapidly looking like a mess too. I just hope it makes it to eastern NE for some lightning.
Edit: Actually that one report for northern Cherry Co. might not be that questionable.
It's not a problem to forecast w/o much experience. It is a problem to forecast trying to sound like you know something when you don't (not directed at you).Well with all of the tornado warnings and NWS wording saying "public reporting a tornado" etc I assumed there was more than one tornado. Today was just not a good day to chase tornadoes but great for chasing storms. Central and eastern Iowa had winds of 70-80+ which for me is pretty eciting. Powerpoles snapped in half and large trees down are reported with some of these storms that came through Iowa earlier.
My original forecast for NE did not bust after after all which was mostly a hail and some damaging winds threat. Most of the storms have been warned for hail or some damaging winds and the tornado reports are so far only one confirmed tornado. I did down play the risk in NE but I based my forecast off the slight risk the SPC had. I learned my lesson that I need to shut up and quit trying to forecast without more experience.
A line of storms now moving over Peoria capable of large hail and damaging winds in excess of 60 MPH. A few storms in NE still capable of large hail. Nothing else realy looking severe at the moment.