Austin Ivey
EF3
I'm a bit less concerned about moisture availablity after viewing some METARS this morning. It turns out the 00z ETA from yesterday actually underestimated the moisture in OK/KS this morning. Forecast for OKC DP was 65 but the ob at 8am was 69.
ALSO the ICT 8am DP of 67 surpasses the 00z ETA forecast of 63. This is a good thing of course.
Perhaps MOST interesting is how the ETA completely missed the frontal boundary location this morning. Current ob out of DDC is 58/58 with fog and NE winds. ETA had a forecast of 62/62 with a SE wind. Hmm....
I would opine on the CAP but I can't access the 12z soundings yet.
ALSO the ICT 8am DP of 67 surpasses the 00z ETA forecast of 63. This is a good thing of course.
Perhaps MOST interesting is how the ETA completely missed the frontal boundary location this morning. Current ob out of DDC is 58/58 with fog and NE winds. ETA had a forecast of 62/62 with a SE wind. Hmm....
I would opine on the CAP but I can't access the 12z soundings yet.