5/13/08 NOW: KS/MO/OK/TX/AR

[Darrin Rasberry]

speaking of notches there's another one showing even more promise east of OKC on I-40 just over from Okemah ... would be interesting to see if something comes out of that as well.

 

[Mitchell Daszewski]

there's that notch SE of Throckmorton again with some more pretty green and red on the SRV 1. Headed for Graham and keeps wanting to get its act together - let's see if it will.

Got a call from Rob Mitchell east of Throckmorton...says it's heavily outflow dominant.

 

[Mike Peregrine]

That outflow dominance should shift in favor of more balance if the thing would just edge its way east about 20 miles! ... It's so close to being in a much better place. I think the current favor of outflow is just a warm up stage on that one, and it will start getting its act together shortly.

Edit - there is a nice Theta-E ridge south of OKC now, but darkness is creeping up fast on satellite.

 

[Mike Peregrine]

The storm near Okfuskee/Okemah is now showing a hook with some rotation indicated on rel velocity. Movement on this cell is currently straight east with the hook just off to the north of I-40.

 

[Mike Peregrine]

Believe it or not, SE Kansas comes through with the first tornado warning. Cherokee/Crawford counties, just north of Oswego. Should be a familiar location for several chasers. That cell is moving NE under 25 kts, but I'm having trouble figuring out why it's warned. I'm seeing no indicators, markers, TVS or even a meso. Just looks like a big splotch.

For the Texans: your storm has FINALLY crossed into the watch box, and you have a meso marker with a very healthy core.

 

[Mitchell Daszewski]

That outflow dominance should shift in favor of more balance if the thing would just edge its way east about 20 miles! ... It's so close to being in a much better place. I think the current favor of outflow is just a warm up stage on that one, and it will start getting its act together shortly.

No kidding, last few frames are impressive. Heading east out of Graham to stay ahead.

 

[Darrin Rasberry]

I'm not too sure what's going on in SE Kansas, but I thought looking at the soundings today that SC Missou could have some interesting areas of higher helicity. Figured that the storms would be lined up by that time, though. Even if this one's only a quickly-pulled trigger finger it might move into a better area very quickly, as well as the storms to the north if they don't choke off.

Rotation showing still by Okemah OK. Graham's storm in TX is starting to look unimpressive, but as was stated earlier, is moving into a better area soon so it might blow up if it doesn't blow out first.

 

[Mike Peregrine]

Lots of cycling and general weakness out there. Sucks. The Okemah storm does have a bit of a flying eagle going on. It's been confusing to watch, and not overly impressive. It is also now moving more southeast than east.

The chasers up in Kansas look to be in good intercept location, and there are good roads through there ... there really isn't anything that is jumping out with a big wow factor across the board currently. In fact, it's time for me to stop watching for a while -

 

[Darrin Rasberry]

Lots of rotation and TVSs showing up near Rocksprings from KDFX's vantage. I wonder what's going on over there, if that's not turning into a squall line or something.

 

[Michael O'Keeffe]

My dad is on the Tor-warned cell in Crawford county, KS and he was seeing a possible funnel under a wall cloud.

 

[Darrin Rasberry]

I wonder if anything's going to come out of Fort Scott and Nevada just north of the current TOR-warned storm. It looks like it's hooking just a bit on radar.

EDIT: San Angelo's storm down in Texas looks like it broke off the main line a bit. It has a mesocyclone, one heck of a shear marker, and some TVS. I don't know what the conditions are like down there, but the storm at least has some incredibly damaging winds right now.