Kevin Scharfenberg
The front that is stalling south of OKC late Tuesday evening should be quasistationary, or slowly lift north Wednesday as a low pressure deepens in southwest Oklahoma or northwest Texas.
Low 60s dewpoints should pool along this boundary, with CAPEs approaching 2000 J/kg. Surface winds should be nicely backed near the remnant boundary, and due to isallobaric forcing as the low pressure develops to the west. That should yield shear profiles that are similar or slightly better than seen on Tuesday. Looks like another supercell day with potential for a few weak/brief tornadoes. Given what happened in IL/IN Tuesday, setups like this cannot be ignored!
Initial target: Shawnee, OK.
Discuss here...
Low 60s dewpoints should pool along this boundary, with CAPEs approaching 2000 J/kg. Surface winds should be nicely backed near the remnant boundary, and due to isallobaric forcing as the low pressure develops to the west. That should yield shear profiles that are similar or slightly better than seen on Tuesday. Looks like another supercell day with potential for a few weak/brief tornadoes. Given what happened in IL/IN Tuesday, setups like this cannot be ignored!
Initial target: Shawnee, OK.
Discuss here...