Joel Wright
EF5
Bust. Don't really even know why I'm posting this, but I figured it'd be a good example of the crap we get to deal with up north.
Had to work till about 2, so was kind of late to the game anyway. Rushed home and took a quick look at things. It was pretty obvious what was happening. The deep moisture was being choked off by the dreaded northeast/southwest oriented wall of convection well to the south. This was like a giant sponge soaking up the moisture feed to the north.
Storms were trying to form in southern Iowa, and far northern Missouri. They didn't look too bad. Out ahead of them in southeastern Iowa clouds had broken just a bit, and SBCAPE neared 1000j/kg. I figured what the hell and headed out. Met Jeremy Ludin at his house in Port Byron and raced west along I-80.
Stopped for some wi-fi at a rest area, but were unable to find a connection. Scooted on down the interstate and found a motel in West Branch with decent connection. After looking at data there, it was pretty obvious that this thing was busting hard up north of the deep convection to our south. Briefly considered chasing one lone severe warned cell southwest of Cedar Rapids, but it looked like it was on it's way out and it was already past 6pm. So we ate some food and headed back east.
Overall a very disppointing day. Never was all the excited about the setup up north. But with most of the model runs the previous few days forecasting dews into the 60s, great shear, marginal instability, and the placement of a deepening surface cyclone just to the west...Well, we thought there might be at least something good to go after.
I hope you guys down south did better than us!
Had to work till about 2, so was kind of late to the game anyway. Rushed home and took a quick look at things. It was pretty obvious what was happening. The deep moisture was being choked off by the dreaded northeast/southwest oriented wall of convection well to the south. This was like a giant sponge soaking up the moisture feed to the north.
Storms were trying to form in southern Iowa, and far northern Missouri. They didn't look too bad. Out ahead of them in southeastern Iowa clouds had broken just a bit, and SBCAPE neared 1000j/kg. I figured what the hell and headed out. Met Jeremy Ludin at his house in Port Byron and raced west along I-80.
Stopped for some wi-fi at a rest area, but were unable to find a connection. Scooted on down the interstate and found a motel in West Branch with decent connection. After looking at data there, it was pretty obvious that this thing was busting hard up north of the deep convection to our south. Briefly considered chasing one lone severe warned cell southwest of Cedar Rapids, but it looked like it was on it's way out and it was already past 6pm. So we ate some food and headed back east.
Overall a very disppointing day. Never was all the excited about the setup up north. But with most of the model runs the previous few days forecasting dews into the 60s, great shear, marginal instability, and the placement of a deepening surface cyclone just to the west...Well, we thought there might be at least something good to go after.
I hope you guys down south did better than us!
