Tony Laubach
EF5
The Dewpoints across northern Oklahoma are making me wonder... I glanced over Dupage and saw the models still keeping Dewpoints under 50 in Southern Kansas, but as the 19z SFC obs are showing, Tds in some places are already flirting with 50 if not over it already. Even a 57 in Northern Oklahoma is looking healthy; better than either tthe ETA or RUC have been. Some of those 50s keep climbing northward a bit on the weak SFC winds from the south, you may see SPC jumping a SLIGHT RISK for the area. Some of those winds are crawling out of the southeast a bit, so ya never know. A moisture tounge is evident, and everything else seems alright, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a few severe in the area of Southern Kansas, Northern Oklahoma. I'd be tempted to play the Hwy 160 stretch near Medicine Lodge if you're in the neighborhood and see what happens in the next couple hours.