Mark Farnik
EF5
With all the hubbub surrounding yesterday and Monday, today seems to have been lost in the mix. It appears there MIGHT be a potential cold core event over southeastern Colorado tomorrow afternoon. The biggest potential strikes against this appear to be limited low level moisture and a stout cap. Deep boundary layer mixing may overcome these limiting factors and allow high based storms to develop over southeastern Colorado. However, if deeper low level moisture can somehow manage to work its way into the area by tomorrow afternoon, potentially tornadic supercells are remotely possible, given the crazy 300-500 ms/2 helicity values and CAPE values of 500-1000.
Unfortunately, at this point it doesn't look like the low level moisture is going to make it far enough north in time, so I'd expect to see one or two high based supercells with damaging winds and moderate hail in the Lamar/Springfield area tomorrow.
Too bad about there not being enough low level moisture and the pesky capping, if those weren't an issue we could have been looking at a pretty decent setup for chaseable cold core tornadoes tomorrow. Oh well, cest la vie.
Unfortunately, at this point it doesn't look like the low level moisture is going to make it far enough north in time, so I'd expect to see one or two high based supercells with damaging winds and moderate hail in the Lamar/Springfield area tomorrow.
Too bad about there not being enough low level moisture and the pesky capping, if those weren't an issue we could have been looking at a pretty decent setup for chaseable cold core tornadoes tomorrow. Oh well, cest la vie.
