So far, while looking at the models, most of the Convective Inhibiton is in the western parts of TN, speaking for me. If the temperatures can be sustained later this evening at the high 70's and low 80's then convection will explode while going across the Cumberlands. Helicity looks the strongest along central TN and KY, which leads me to believe that's where the main area of severity will, be shortl ived perhaps. The 850mb winds right now are more favorable along the western KY and TN areas, and as the day proceeds the winds will slowlly tilt north. It looks like supercells will be a threat tornado wise, for parts of central MI and NE IN. Dewpoints are good across all of the south. As the system moves through TN, it is expected to weaken dramtically partially because of the more complex terrain, and also because CAPE will weaken in the eevening hours and the winds aloft will move north mroe or less. I am going to target Nashville, right now and then head north from there.