• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

2025-3-22 EVENT: TX/OK/MO

gdlewen

EF4
Joined
May 5, 2019
Messages
355
Location
Owasso, OK
This is very early, but I like to begin looking at events as they appear on the horizon. Especially if they do not appear to be very impressive, because I think there is a lot to be learned from studying "subtle effects". (In Physics this is often true, so why not Meteorology?)

Plus the historical trend seems to be the risk increases daily as the event approaches, so if that holds we should get at least a SLGT risk out of it.

1742498238481.png


Key phrases that caught my attention in the Day 3 Outlook:
  1. favorable speed shear should exist for at least a few elevated supercells
  2. extent of convective development may have a sharp cutoff beyond the Ozarks given the expected strength of the EML
Point #2 suggests checking the forecast EML strength in the area. Looking at the NAM forecast EML suggests that the conditions in central OK are marginally better (better buoyancy above the EML base.).

NAM_LSI_20250320_1200_F60_20250320_1458.png
NAM_EML_20250320_1200_F60_20250320_1458.png
Forecast LSI. For regions with values ≤ 2˚K, if deep convection occurs it is more likely to be severe​
Spatial Depiction of EML Classification. Based on Lanicci & Warner (1991)​

Of course, all of this presumes the Lid Strength Index has predictive power. I posted here some time ago to ask, "Whatever happened to the LSI?", partly because I wondered if the LSI was found to be "not so useful".

Anyway--it will be interesting to see how this event develops.
 
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