Helge Tuschy
EF0
@ Mr. Thompson,
congratulations...I think you all did a really good job in forecasting this severe weather day. To be honest, I was sceptical ( only a little bit
) about your westward extension of the 15% TOR prob. in Kansas, but finally it was the right decision.
One question and I hope it sounds not too stupid...:
When considering "TOR watch versus PDS watch", does the topography also play a role in your decision? In NW Arkansas we are talking about some elevations 2 kft or higher, which could influence storms in either way . So do you now say that maybe the topography will be too rough for tornadoes becoming long-tracked /-lived ...or at least there will be the chance for 1 or 2 of them to become long-lived, but all in all there will be an higher chance for "shorter" tornado tracks due to the rough topography ----> issuing an high probability tornado watch, but not a PDS watch.
Good look in the next MDT area,
Helge, (Innsbruck, Austria )
congratulations...I think you all did a really good job in forecasting this severe weather day. To be honest, I was sceptical ( only a little bit
One question and I hope it sounds not too stupid...:
When considering "TOR watch versus PDS watch", does the topography also play a role in your decision? In NW Arkansas we are talking about some elevations 2 kft or higher, which could influence storms in either way . So do you now say that maybe the topography will be too rough for tornadoes becoming long-tracked /-lived ...or at least there will be the chance for 1 or 2 of them to become long-lived, but all in all there will be an higher chance for "shorter" tornado tracks due to the rough topography ----> issuing an high probability tornado watch, but not a PDS watch.
Good look in the next MDT area,
Helge, (Innsbruck, Austria )