Brandon Sullivan
EF5
An Upper Level Low, with a very strong associated cold front will move eastward across the upper midwest on Monday morning/afternoon. The Low is progged to reach South Central MN by 18z Monday, with the front extending from a DMX to SGF line. Forecast CAPE values of near 1000 J/KG, along with 60-65 DP's, and Helicity values reaching 200 M2/S2, would indicate that any storms that can develop could become severe with rotating updrafts, with the shear amount in proximity to the low.
The GFS is faster and weaker or less organized with the system. This is maybe the first run I have seen that favors a severe set up.. This last run added in the Kinematic Support that I've been waiting on..
Should be able to get more later.
The GFS is faster and weaker or less organized with the system. This is maybe the first run I have seen that favors a severe set up.. This last run added in the Kinematic Support that I've been waiting on..
Should be able to get more later.
