06/08/07 NOW: IN/MI/OH/KY

[David Mikulec]

Things are starting to look interesting here this morning, already. At 5am it was 77 degrees in Boyle county with winds out of the west at 7 mph gusting to well above 15. Currently watching a rather menacing looking line west of Evansville (IN). Here's the latest mesoscale discussion from the SPC:

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 081330Z - 081500Z

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS AND
A WATCH ISSUANCE WILL BE COORDINATED BETWEEN THE SPC AND THE
AFFECTED LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES SHORTLY.

A SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR MUCH OF KY AND TN AND
SOUTHERN INDIANA/OH...WITH A PRIMARY RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

 

[Terry Tyler]

MS threat

im working the kinks out on chasing this one...theres 2500-3000SBCAPE and a 0-3km EHI max of 4 and an area of 150-200 ms/s2 in the tunica/desoto county area...

i like that look...if those models are representing what is out there...the cells in AR are looking discrete...hope they stay that way...there is a SVR ww out...and im going to patrol the watch area...

 

[John Bowles]

The bubble I've developed this year strikes again. I just busted a squall line. The line split apart, passed over, and closed on the other side. Its still pretty dry here, and we really needed the rain.

I can't catch it now, so I'm done.

 

[Terry Tyler]

The bubble I've developed this year strikes again. I just busted a squall line. The line split apart, passed over, and closed on the other side. Its still pretty dry here, and we really needed the rain.

I can't catch it now, so I'm done.

you want to talk about a bubble? what a drag...im still hoping on maybe a pulse severe cell...i was looking forward to seeing something...but now it dont look too hot...not as much shear as the mesoanalysis was putting earlier, and the whole thing looks like outflow rain exept for a few embeded storms...

well see...

 

[MatthewCarman]

That storm over Youngstown OH is INTENSE! It is capable of producing a tornado,softball sized hail and destructive winds in excess of 80 MPH!

The VIL on that storm looks pretty strong and DBZ is 65+.