Robert Dewey
EF5
Okay, I see now ![Smile :) :)](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
The 18Z NAM is slightly weaker yet again... Though the strength / depth of the 500MB shortwave does hold on, rather than slowly collapsing as the 12Z run showed. I don't think that would make or break the case, but it's still interesting... But for some reason, I can't get over weakening SFC lows... They just always seem like bad news to me (I've seen a few events get screwed over by a "lame low").
I'm not going to go in depth and waste my time with an 18Z run... The shortwave is just now coming on shore and the 00Z models should have it sampled pretty well, at which point I might post additional thoughts.
The 18Z NAM is slightly weaker yet again... Though the strength / depth of the 500MB shortwave does hold on, rather than slowly collapsing as the 12Z run showed. I don't think that would make or break the case, but it's still interesting... But for some reason, I can't get over weakening SFC lows... They just always seem like bad news to me (I've seen a few events get screwed over by a "lame low").
I'm not going to go in depth and waste my time with an 18Z run... The shortwave is just now coming on shore and the 00Z models should have it sampled pretty well, at which point I might post additional thoughts.