Bart_Comstock
EF5
Well it is about time. Looks like the almost forgotten about TD2 that the NHC just a day ago said was not worth issuing advisories on anymore took serious offense to that statement and did a 180 to go from nothing to a Tropical Storm.
The big question as to whether or not we are going to see this make it to Florida or the Carolinas or just turn out to sea over the Bahamas is if that huge ridge that is setting up over the Atlantic can hold its ground and if it will stretch far enough back towards the coast to keep Ana from turning before she reaches the CONUS but really that is obvious.
With how bad the models have been looking out past day one should be considered fantasy land and they are a bit spread as the GFDL doesn't seem to care for Ana to much for Ana as it has it making just past the lesser Antilles as a TS before rapidly starting to fall apart, yet the HWRF has it as a Cat 2 eventually. My thoughts are that this will just barely make it to the coast before turning out to sea as the back side of the ridge will weaken and allow for the storm to start its turn over the Bahamas. The GFS also doesn't like Ana much and has her driving more due west and not lasting very long.
The big question as to whether or not we are going to see this make it to Florida or the Carolinas or just turn out to sea over the Bahamas is if that huge ridge that is setting up over the Atlantic can hold its ground and if it will stretch far enough back towards the coast to keep Ana from turning before she reaches the CONUS but really that is obvious.
With how bad the models have been looking out past day one should be considered fantasy land and they are a bit spread as the GFDL doesn't seem to care for Ana to much for Ana as it has it making just past the lesser Antilles as a TS before rapidly starting to fall apart, yet the HWRF has it as a Cat 2 eventually. My thoughts are that this will just barely make it to the coast before turning out to sea as the back side of the ridge will weaken and allow for the storm to start its turn over the Bahamas. The GFS also doesn't like Ana much and has her driving more due west and not lasting very long.
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