Dan Robinson
EF5
I had a small budget for some equipment maintenance/upgrades at the end of the year, and one of the items on my list of potentials was a 4K video camera. I decided against it. I thought I'd share my reasons.
I have experience with an industry video resolution upgrade - I bought my first HD video camera in 2005. Back then, the transition from standard definition to high definition was a very different animal than what we are seeing today with 4K.
What it boils down to is that back in the mid 2000s, there was a healthy demand for HD content (both stock footage and ENG) before consumer and low-end prosumer HD video cameras (below $1,000) were widely available. There was a good chance an early adopter that hustled to collect some footage for archiving could do well. Now, with 4K, the inverse is true: 4K cameras are already affordable (well under $1,000) and many are in regular use. All this is happening, yet there is not a real demand for 4K footage, nor will there be anytime soon. The ability to even watch full 4K content is still in its infancy, let alone the infrastructure to transmit it.
The second major factor today that did not exist back in 2005 is how video content is consumed. The phone and tablet revolution, in conjunction with online content delivery, has stripped away a big chunk of the importance of TV. Back in 2005, TV was the only game in town to deliver content. Today, many people watch Netflix on their tablets instead of on their TVs. And viewing of videos on mobile devices is here to stay.
Third, I've learned through years of selling stock footage that it's the subject that sells first, the resolution is an afterthought (as long as it was shot on a half-decent camera to begin with, in focus, good audio, etc). That is even more important today with the glut of cell phone videos. I have sold 640x480 standard def shots at full HD broadcast rates because of what was captured on that video. Back in 2005-2009, I paid for my new HD camera and then some with stock sales. I'm convinced that I can't expect the same to occur with 4K.
To be sure, 4K *is* coming, no one can deny that. But I don't see it looming like HD was in 2005. The urgency to upgrade, at least in my opinion, just isn't there now. Someday, I'm sure anyone still doing ENG and stock will need to upgrade to stay relevant, but that day is a LONG way off - not even on the horizon IMO. By the time we see an industry-wide shift to 4K, there will be such a glut of content that it will nullify any benefit of an early adoption camera-wise right now.
That's just my take, your mileage may vary.
I have experience with an industry video resolution upgrade - I bought my first HD video camera in 2005. Back then, the transition from standard definition to high definition was a very different animal than what we are seeing today with 4K.
What it boils down to is that back in the mid 2000s, there was a healthy demand for HD content (both stock footage and ENG) before consumer and low-end prosumer HD video cameras (below $1,000) were widely available. There was a good chance an early adopter that hustled to collect some footage for archiving could do well. Now, with 4K, the inverse is true: 4K cameras are already affordable (well under $1,000) and many are in regular use. All this is happening, yet there is not a real demand for 4K footage, nor will there be anytime soon. The ability to even watch full 4K content is still in its infancy, let alone the infrastructure to transmit it.
The second major factor today that did not exist back in 2005 is how video content is consumed. The phone and tablet revolution, in conjunction with online content delivery, has stripped away a big chunk of the importance of TV. Back in 2005, TV was the only game in town to deliver content. Today, many people watch Netflix on their tablets instead of on their TVs. And viewing of videos on mobile devices is here to stay.
Third, I've learned through years of selling stock footage that it's the subject that sells first, the resolution is an afterthought (as long as it was shot on a half-decent camera to begin with, in focus, good audio, etc). That is even more important today with the glut of cell phone videos. I have sold 640x480 standard def shots at full HD broadcast rates because of what was captured on that video. Back in 2005-2009, I paid for my new HD camera and then some with stock sales. I'm convinced that I can't expect the same to occur with 4K.
To be sure, 4K *is* coming, no one can deny that. But I don't see it looming like HD was in 2005. The urgency to upgrade, at least in my opinion, just isn't there now. Someday, I'm sure anyone still doing ENG and stock will need to upgrade to stay relevant, but that day is a LONG way off - not even on the horizon IMO. By the time we see an industry-wide shift to 4K, there will be such a glut of content that it will nullify any benefit of an early adoption camera-wise right now.
That's just my take, your mileage may vary.
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