Gabe Garfield
EF5
Well, it looks the GFS has finally become consistent in developing a trough in the west. The ECWMF has had this solution for a while now, and like other events this year, it has done better.
At any rate, the GFS no longer advertises a strong cold front for this weekend. As a result, the "high octane" air will stay just south of the OK/TX border through the beginning of next week and will be patiently awaiting the formation of a lee cyclone to draw it northward. It appears that Wednesday will probably be the first day in a series of possible events next week.
The beautiful thing (per the 18z GFS) is that after Tuesday, the plains will be in persistent SW flow aloft...exactly what we want to see this time of year. I'm becoming increasingly confident that next week will hold some decent/good opportunities to do some real chasing.
Here's hoping that the trend will continue!
Gabe
At any rate, the GFS no longer advertises a strong cold front for this weekend. As a result, the "high octane" air will stay just south of the OK/TX border through the beginning of next week and will be patiently awaiting the formation of a lee cyclone to draw it northward. It appears that Wednesday will probably be the first day in a series of possible events next week.
The beautiful thing (per the 18z GFS) is that after Tuesday, the plains will be in persistent SW flow aloft...exactly what we want to see this time of year. I'm becoming increasingly confident that next week will hold some decent/good opportunities to do some real chasing.
Here's hoping that the trend will continue!
Gabe