Andrew Pritchard
EF5
Well, it appears y'all are going to be toasting down in the southern plains. The 168 hr GFS from 0Z is showing temps into the 100s down there. Enjoy!
Earlier today I wrote this:
\"The large Canadian low that forms from the merger of the east coast and Hudson Bay troughs still gets pushed out to sea, as I mentioned in the earlier outlook, but on this morning's 12z GFS it is quickly replaced by ANOTHER large upper level low that drops in from the polar regions.\"
Two hours later, the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center wrote this:
\"THE GFS AND GFSP HAVE NO SUPPORT FROM THEIR ENSMEAN W/THEIR DESCENDING VORTEX IN ERN CAN...SO THEIR PATTERN IN THE EAST IS SUSPECT.\"
Here's their full discussion. So we have official sanction for blowing off this morning's crazy ass GFS and continuing to expect a gradual ridge breakdown and all the good things that flow from that.
Originally posted by Dan Robinson
Is this a cutoff low or a tropical system?
Earlier today I wrote this:
\"The large Canadian low that forms from the merger of the east coast and Hudson Bay troughs still gets pushed out to sea, as I mentioned in the earlier outlook, but on this morning's 12z GFS it is quickly replaced by ANOTHER large upper level low that drops in from the polar regions.\"
Two hours later, the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center wrote this:
\"THE GFS AND GFSP HAVE NO SUPPORT FROM THEIR ENSMEAN W/THEIR DESCENDING VORTEX IN ERN CAN...SO THEIR PATTERN IN THE EAST IS SUSPECT.\"