Jonathan Merage
EF1
Change in My plans
Well, with the way the forecasts are working out for this weekend, it looks like I've got quite a trip ahead of me! It's been a while since I saw 5,500+ CAPES over an area of solid mid-70s dew points and -12 to -14 LIs with just a strong shortwave & passing warm front to fuel my hopes. Then again, with such incredible instability maybe that's all we'll need to get things firing on Thurs & Friday? Still can't believe those forecast soundings for Grand Island--CAPES over 7,000 j/kg & 85% chance for supercells. With all this chasing coming up, I'm not positive I'll make it to the party on Saturday, but I'll definitely try, since all the action shifts up north by then.
Otherwise, see y'all at the party!
Jon
Well, with the way the forecasts are working out for this weekend, it looks like I've got quite a trip ahead of me! It's been a while since I saw 5,500+ CAPES over an area of solid mid-70s dew points and -12 to -14 LIs with just a strong shortwave & passing warm front to fuel my hopes. Then again, with such incredible instability maybe that's all we'll need to get things firing on Thurs & Friday? Still can't believe those forecast soundings for Grand Island--CAPES over 7,000 j/kg & 85% chance for supercells. With all this chasing coming up, I'm not positive I'll make it to the party on Saturday, but I'll definitely try, since all the action shifts up north by then.
Otherwise, see y'all at the party!
Jon