Hurricanes of 2018

2nd section of disturbance (tropical wave) is emerging from the coast of Africa. Medium chance to grow into a depression the next 5 days. 92 AL has good potential because of strong conditions. Sea surface temperatures look good to me (28/29 degrees). Florence might hit the US coast as a cat 3.

@Warren Faidley are you this https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Faidley famous person?

I don't consider myself famous, but yes.
 
Focusing more on AL92 than Florence. Florence will likely have some impact on the east coast, but if it moves too far N/NE - those areas are not great for onshore tropical chasing and I'd rather chase a Gulf or Florida storm. AL92 will be interesting once (and if) it becomes a tropical cyclone and the models have a better handle on it. Hopefully it will not track over areas hit last year.
 
I don't consider myself famous, but yes.
“Faidley is credited as the world's first full-time professional storm chaser.” Not famous? He is often referred to as America's ‘Top Storm Chaser.’” Still not famous? “Faidley's images, stories of adventure and video clips have been used in countless publications and productions around the world including National Geographic, The Discovery Channel and The Weather Channel.” At least a thousand pictures of Warren Faidley on the internet. You have to get good credit for chasing dust devils on a bike. Lmao. Brave.

On a more serious note,
Focusing more on AL92 than Florence. Florence will likely have some impact on the east coast, but if it moves too far N/NE - those areas are not great for onshore tropical chasing and I'd rather chase a Gulf or Florida storm. AL92 will be interesting once (and if) it becomes a tropical cyclone and the models have a better handle on it. Hopefully it will not track over areas hit last year.
I can’t stop having this feeling that 92AL’s track might be very similar to Irma’s. 93AL just got declared high chance of development! This feels like Irma and Maria, one after the other.
 
Florence dropping all the way down to a tropical storm. Disappointing. Spaghetti models show Florence hitting the North Carolina/Virginia border as a category 3 hurricane though. Check model intensity graphs for 93AL. It looks something like rapid intensification?
 
aal06_2018090712_track_gfs.png Still too early to hit the red alert for Florence, although it's still likely the east coast will have some form of tropical cyclone weather. Will need to see how it redevelops, as models always have trouble with storms that phase from TS back to Hurricanes. With tropical storm conditions possible by Wednesday, there is not a whole lot of time if people lose track over the weekend. Would expect TWC to go into crisis mode soon.
 
3BA3D017-4E4E-49C0-A539-F5D52A459D1A.jpeg

Wow, spaghetti is freaking out. Looks like Florence will do quite a bit of damage as it hits the east coast. Intensity chart depicts Florence hitting as a category 4.

The two regions of interest have grown into tropical depressions. You gotta take a good look at this though.

2F63F5B0-CD5F-4FB6-9E7A-19CB0BB5C3BF.png
 
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