David Wolfson
EF5
Good science tests against the "normal", i.e. null hypothesis, all the time.
Anyway, the Arctic Ocean findings tend to suggest that a large part of the Earth's radiative surface is darkening at an unanticipated rate. Maybe it's "extra-terrestrials" (as whimsically suggested in the article) or this extra forcing will be balanced by some heretofore unanticpated counter-force.
I just don't get very persuaded by arguments like Dr. Scambos'. Twenty years ago the hypothesis of man-made global warming causality may have been one-sigma valid, now maybe it's approaching two-sigma valid. In twenty more years when Ted Scambos is collecting his social security check, maybe it's three-sigma valid, and he admits that he's finally persuaded -- BFD. The point is, by that time, they may be growing winter wheat in the Yukon; and by that time we are in Deep Doodoo.
Anyway, the Arctic Ocean findings tend to suggest that a large part of the Earth's radiative surface is darkening at an unanticipated rate. Maybe it's "extra-terrestrials" (as whimsically suggested in the article) or this extra forcing will be balanced by some heretofore unanticpated counter-force.
I just don't get very persuaded by arguments like Dr. Scambos'. Twenty years ago the hypothesis of man-made global warming causality may have been one-sigma valid, now maybe it's approaching two-sigma valid. In twenty more years when Ted Scambos is collecting his social security check, maybe it's three-sigma valid, and he admits that he's finally persuaded -- BFD. The point is, by that time, they may be growing winter wheat in the Yukon; and by that time we are in Deep Doodoo.
