Atlantic: Hurricane Paloma

[cdcollura]

Good day all,

Wow - 140 MPH at 943 MB ... Cuba seems "cursed" this year.

this US embargo has to go - I would be there in a heartbeat.

 

[Stuart Robinson]

PALOMA IS TIED FOR THE SECOND STRONGEST ATLANTIC HURRICANE EVER
NOTED IN NOVEMBER...THE STRONGEST BEING LENNY IN 1999.

 

[KenMcWatters]

Winds now at 145 MPH as of the 4 pm advisory. Pressure is rising however, now at 952 mb, so this should be the peak sustained wind speed as the storm is approaching landfall.

 

[Jim Leonard]

PALOMA IS TIED FOR THE SECOND STRONGEST ATLANTIC HURRICANE EVER
NOTED IN NOVEMBER...THE STRONGEST BEING LENNY IN 1999.

I don't know why they don't include hurricane Michelle of 2001 in the list.
933mb and 120kts on November 4th.

 

[Paul Austin]

GFS and NOGAPS now have whatever remains of Paloma looping back toward S FL by Thursday. Parts of the state could use the rain, but who knows how closely these models will verify? Other models, including GFDL and NGFDL turn the system back toward the SW and back across Cuba.

 

[Dennis Dennison]

I was looking at the charts yesterday, and wondered if it was going to turn west, I see they now are forcasting this.
Any thoughts on a reintensification while drifting wwest or wsw?
Perhaps making it into warm enough waters for a hurricane into the west side of florida say by tues? Wed?

 

[Jim Leonard]

I was looking at the charts yesterday, and wondered if it was going to turn west, I see they now are forcasting this.
Any thoughts on a reintensification while drifting wwest or wsw?
Perhaps making it into warm enough waters for a hurricane into the west side of florida say by tues? Wed?

The upper air, above 30,000 ft will be highly un-favorable for any intensification especially if the system goes in any westerly direction. This time of year it would be highly unusual to have anything but strong west winds above 15,000 ft in thre atlantic tropics north of latitude 20N. Hurricane Paloma will be finished once the center moves off the NE coast of Cuba.

 

[Paul Austin]

I'd have to agree. Upper air shear looks pretty heavy. Whatever remnants exist beyond Cuba don't look to have much punch for long, especially if the system drifts westward. Of course, I've been wrong before.

 

[cdcollura]

Good day all,

Upper air simply will not let it happen - except for a weak remnant low / weakness.

Winds above 10,000 feet are 25-30 knots from the west / SW and only increase higher up you go.

 

[Dennis Dennison]

Yes I realize the upper level winds are a no go, but the remains are still heading west, call me silly, I just feel there will be some sort of restrengthening and movement into the gulf. I know the rules say no way, but isnt chasing part gut feeling?

 

[Dennis Dennison]

Thanks for the graph-I have been looking at them all, and I know its far too late in the season, and the winds aloft will blow it out, but then again it was a bit of an unusual type cane, so I second guessed my gut feeling, even though I knew the odds were not too good.

 

[Jim Leonard]

Check out this video of the hurricane's landfall on Little Cayman Island.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1PEC9o2CbHA

 

[Dennis Dennison]

I was looking at the charts yesterday, and wondered if it was going to turn west, I see they now are forcasting this.
Any thoughts on a reintensification while drifting wwest or wsw?
Perhaps making it into warm enough waters for a hurricane into the west side of florida say by tues? Wed?

Well it definatly is a dead storm, However, the remains DID in fact drift into the gulf and are now as of today on the west side of Florida-so I got it half right.