Absolutely INSANE GFS Run

[Marko Korosec]

I agree with some of you above... those maps for June 6th are just SICK! I am just looking at latest WRF 12z which confirms incredible setup for ne NE into se SD...man, it makes me thinking to book a flight and return to the Plains for few days.

 

[Ryan McGinnis]

I have Wednesday firmly on my "willing to take a day off if the setup is even a remote cousin of the current model run" calendar. I'm trying not to get too excited because it's a few days out and I've been burned by the "believe what the models tell you three days out" game before, but damn, that would be a nice setup in my back yard.

 

[Daniel Christianson]

As they say from that 70's show...burn burn burn burn lol... i hope this pan's out i will really keep an eye on this, i have wed off so works out for me but im almost betting there will be some changes in the next few days.....

 

[Shane Adams]

I just wanted to clarify that I meant if the strong capping inversion (which is supposed to ruin the day Wed) is still there in another day, I'll start believing it. As it is, I'm keeping Wednesday as my first "take off" day from work for what looks to be a busy weekend. Until those h7 and h85 temps recede a bit and precip starts showing up, I'm more intrigued by Fri-Sat.

 

[Justin E. Reed]

I can't say too much because it's classified computers and systems. The cap will be quite strong thru much of the day, but the models we run in the military, at least here in JAX, show it erroding by mid afternoon with incredible convective activiy with tops possibly as high as 60,000ft! Shear profiles are very similar to the day Greensburg was pummeled and this could become a very interesting day to say the least. I have a good friend on leave in his hometown of Harlington, NB and I'll keep him abreast and he'll keep me informed on conditions he will witness. If I could flip the chaser switch, I'd press the green button as good to go!

 

[Chris Hayes]

The 12z run of the ETA had the cap eroding over parts of NE Nebraska and SE SD by 00z. Hopefully this solution will pan out

 

[Jeff Snyder]

This event is only four days away, as such we ask that any forecasts or analysis of the upcoming event take place in the FCST thread. If you wish to further discuss arrangements and chase plans that is okay.

I'll reiterate this. If your post is specific to Wednesday, 6/6/07, please use the appropriate FCST thread --> http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showthread.php?t=12755

 

[Darren Addy]

Gee, does this mean that we can put to bed all of those dire "end of the season" posts we were reading a week ago?