Jeff Snyder
EF5
A couple nice supercells occurring across north-central NE at this time, as moderate instability resides near a frontal boundary invof the NE/SD border. Mesonanalysis indicates that deeplayer shear is favorable for supercells, and things could get interesting for those storms residing along the boundary. A supercell in Brown co. NE is currently exihibiting a nice BWER, precip echo overhang, and potential hook-echo (may be preferred development as parcels reach their LFCs 'riding up' the outflow/cold pool), though purple-haze is creating velocity analysis problems. Tornado potential would be much higher if dewpoints were even in the "marginal" range... Current surface observations indicate Tds in the 35-55F range, with 40-50F dewpoint depressions in the warm sector.
EDIT: 4:22p -- storms not look quite as well organized as 15 minutes ago...
EDIT: 4:22p -- storms not look quite as well organized as 15 minutes ago...