Andrew Herron
EF3
Specifically in the region it looks like we're due for another strong wind event. Whoever has the power, feel free to add the other states but I thought we'd leave the Plains separate since their dynamics are a wee different.
The 00z GFS, which COD has, is showing CAPE well into 2k's and plenty of upper level backing. After looking at the 12z on the NCEP site it looks like this is going to impact NE IN and N OH more than SE MI but we're pretty hopeful in these parts.
The NAM models run to run keep moving this system more northward but has been consistent in doing so. That being the case, this may turn into a more late evening, early morning event for us here in SE MI.
As with what has happened on last Friday and Sunday, any "kinks" in the line would most certainly have the ability to spin-up though any tornadoes would be short lived.
As seems to be the trend, we will have an overnight MCS to deal with and hopes that it clears out so we can get enough daytime heating.
The NMM has had a pretty good handle on things as of late but it's still finishing up so I'll update my thoughts when it's finished up.
The 00z GFS, which COD has, is showing CAPE well into 2k's and plenty of upper level backing. After looking at the 12z on the NCEP site it looks like this is going to impact NE IN and N OH more than SE MI but we're pretty hopeful in these parts.
The NAM models run to run keep moving this system more northward but has been consistent in doing so. That being the case, this may turn into a more late evening, early morning event for us here in SE MI.
As with what has happened on last Friday and Sunday, any "kinks" in the line would most certainly have the ability to spin-up though any tornadoes would be short lived.
As seems to be the trend, we will have an overnight MCS to deal with and hopes that it clears out so we can get enough daytime heating.
The NMM has had a pretty good handle on things as of late but it's still finishing up so I'll update my thoughts when it's finished up.
